Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 47.059532 54.314906 61.804539 70.076851 78.922380 88.065120 98.197448
2026-02-01 35.549277 45.706986 56.765537 69.542738 83.755214 98.951919 116.307589
2026-02-08 28.916671 40.541507 53.725956 69.459710 87.433906 107.076397 129.928774
2026-02-15 23.480795 35.911837 50.580599 68.610034 89.691672 113.156134 140.870522
2026-02-22 20.125772 33.290894 49.371217 69.623441 93.745876 120.976597 153.506802
2026-03-01 17.534471 31.282017 48.623493 70.944060 97.957301 128.815744 166.026927
2026-03-08 14.433034 28.210037 46.254206 70.047844 99.342560 133.228080 174.487343
2026-03-15 11.573977 25.096230 43.548910 68.499124 99.750780 136.344353 181.317505
2026-03-22 10.717942 24.785548 44.460480 71.449054 105.580290 145.814308 195.511007
2026-03-29 9.513503 23.787739 44.338852 72.995218 109.626056 153.125861 207.151565
2026-04-05 7.823836 21.785218 42.673771 72.413910 110.938451 157.099795 214.810791
2026-04-12 6.388421 19.982313 41.144930 71.899368 112.247572 161.004121 222.334534
2026-04-19 5.344661 18.724690 40.338435 72.325591 114.755521 166.397799 231.694571
2026-04-26 4.209985 17.076871 38.824961 71.702309 115.862575 170.045585 238.948030
2026-05-03 3.354712 15.799710 37.769800 71.632345 117.624364 174.453475 247.079316
2026-05-10 2.499466 14.284327 36.211746 70.765544 118.281088 177.447579 253.467616
2026-05-17 2.059316 13.640955 36.011782 71.796712 121.409540 183.499213 263.552406
2026-05-24 1.719276 13.163148 36.045634 73.139603 124.935821 190.040327 274.230941
2026-05-31 1.177220 11.871291 34.585311 72.228250 125.403471 192.708483 280.157854
2026-06-07 0.699309 10.440150 32.740376 70.653136 124.910614 194.116024 284.501549
2026-06-14 0.657397 10.670361 33.927410 73.653110 130.638884 203.424379 298.573255
2026-06-21 0.520917 10.413703 34.183945 75.225130 134.412400 210.244901 309.582476
2026-06-28 0.292585 9.467157 33.059060 74.634131 135.190655 213.224215 315.834839